tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-71602307863435592672024-03-26T02:03:11.420-07:00Stock Market ForecastAlex Shmatovhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17880460693965335408noreply@blogger.comBlogger45125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7160230786343559267.post-89743967513695669162018-09-22T15:50:00.003-07:002018-09-22T15:53:16.910-07:00Addaptron Software Release New Stock Market Software SMT1
Addaptron Software announced a software release, SMT1 (Stock Market Tools, release 1), a new advanced software system for End-Of-Day (EOD) traders. One of new advantages is all-in-one output forecast signal. This signal (number) is the result of processing data by Artificial Intelligence (AI) Forecast Module. The set of data consists of technical indicators, waves prediction, pattern filter, andAlex Shmatovhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17880460693965335408noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7160230786343559267.post-9647579988110875472015-03-03T17:22:00.001-08:002015-04-17T22:29:54.856-07:00SMFT-2 is a New Stock Market Prediction Software
SMFT-2 (Stock Market Forecast Tools) is
a new integrated system by Addaptron Software.
It is the next generation of the software that intended to replace
older SMFT-1 version. As a result of a few recent development
projects, the new version is based on new advanced methods, provides
more accurate prediction, and is easier to use.
Prediction modules is built with
back-test calculation to Alex Shmatovhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17880460693965335408noreply@blogger.com6tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7160230786343559267.post-50034978227610953952013-04-26T18:08:00.000-07:002013-04-26T18:08:42.308-07:00About Trading Decision Support System TraDeSS-1Trading Decision Support System TraDeSS-1 is for institutional traders and investors who deal with ETFs, commodities, and big-volume equities. It is a comprehensive and effective software to help finding the best trading opportunities, maximizing profitability using several predictive models with back-testing features, and optimizing algorithms by running simulations.
TraDeSS-1 is equipped Alex Shmatovhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17880460693965335408noreply@blogger.com4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7160230786343559267.post-75059445905025263342012-04-04T22:31:00.005-07:002012-04-06T00:29:05.251-07:00SP-500 Index Cycle Analysis Forecast for Spring and Summer of 2012There is a simple predictive model that is built on an assumption that the stock market has a semi-cyclical nature. Many technical analysts use cycle analysis in their comprehensive research. The cycles may not be stable all the time but the probability of repeating patterns can be big enough to get a consistent trading profit. Cycle analysis can be made using charts. However, the distinctive Alex Shmatovhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17880460693965335408noreply@blogger.com4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7160230786343559267.post-62391230142880675592012-02-15T17:51:00.000-08:002012-02-15T18:01:00.111-08:00Predicting the Next Move of the Market by Elliott WaveThe Elliot Wave model is based on a crowd psychology that changes between optimistic and pessimistic states creating patterns that can be fitted to natural sequences. These days, the Elliott Wave principle can be improved and used in stock market forecast. Combining this method with Neural Network (NN) helps to eliminate the subjectivity in counting waves. Instead of assuming that waves obey onlyAlex Shmatovhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17880460693965335408noreply@blogger.com4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7160230786343559267.post-30932249511662586232012-02-01T16:27:00.001-08:002012-02-01T16:46:40.080-08:00Automated Recognition of Candlestick PatternsThe idea of using the chart with candlesticks (or candles) for predicting market prices is very old. Two centuries ago, Japanese rice trader found that the candlesticks pattern chart could be used as a tool to predict future prices in a free market with a natural demand-supply balance. The method was improved later by others and today it is successfully used by many traders and investors in the Alex Shmatovhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17880460693965335408noreply@blogger.com14tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7160230786343559267.post-54736973954723234212011-12-13T21:03:00.000-08:002011-12-13T21:06:44.046-08:00The Stock Market Remains Weak Despite Positive ReportsIn general, the stock market demonstrates weakness despite better-than-expected US economic reports and news. The US unemployment rate dropped to 8.6% in November from 9% in October. It is a lowest level in more than 2.5 years, since March 2009. October US retail sales were 7.2% higher than the same month a year ago. Furthermore, the retail sales have been raising for 5 straight months. Alex Shmatovhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17880460693965335408noreply@blogger.com12tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7160230786343559267.post-79256370134855625442011-11-18T18:22:00.001-08:002011-11-18T18:23:28.855-08:00The Stock Market Outlook Would Be More PositiveAfter a few years of struggle to find an alternative to over-leveraged financial models, the transition to a new era of a deleveraged economy has begun. Recently, the necessity of this transition is confirmed by rising European and Global financial uncertainties. Evidently, these are negative factors that still keep investing risk at higher than normal level. On the other hand, there are positiveAlex Shmatovhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17880460693965335408noreply@blogger.com4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7160230786343559267.post-15909750604365720992011-10-18T08:28:00.000-07:002011-10-18T09:33:28.231-07:00Better Expectations Drive the Stock Market A sluggish economical recovery, weak job market, financial crisis in Europe, and the fear of global recession kept the major stock market indexes in a choppy pattern during 3rd quarter. However, October started with some good news and better-than-expected statistics. These were able to lift S&P-500 from 1075 to 1225 (almost 14%) for two weeks. Among good economic news: September was one of the Alex Shmatovhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17880460693965335408noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7160230786343559267.post-90632542572019769132011-10-05T09:41:00.000-07:002011-10-05T09:44:21.916-07:00October: Is It Time for Bull?Lately, the economists re-evaluated their previous estimates and significantly lowered the predictions for the US economic growth this year and in 2012. This fundamental equilibrium reset, as one-time event, coincidentally has combined with a cyclical September-October low market season. A high volatility, remaining macroeconomic risks, and crowd fears persist. A lot of confusions still dominate Alex Shmatovhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17880460693965335408noreply@blogger.com4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7160230786343559267.post-79686442346472437162011-08-17T14:11:00.000-07:002011-08-17T14:25:29.774-07:00Crashes Always Come UnexpectedlyWhat did exactly cause the recent sell-off ? There are different opinions among experts - debt-ceiling standoff, US credit rating downgrade, disappointing economic growth statistics, Europe troubles, or all combined together. As usually, it happened suddenly and quickly. There might be at least two ideas why recent declines happen faster and faster. The first one is that investors reaction to Alex Shmatovhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17880460693965335408noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7160230786343559267.post-60087817356932957802011-07-13T13:05:00.000-07:002011-07-13T13:20:36.513-07:00The Stock Market Is Ready To Advance To New HighsThe US unemployment rate increased during the last three months and reached 9.2%. Even so, in a long-term perspective, a high unemployment is on its new "normal" level and a small increase looks rather as a noise, not a strong signal. Also normally, unemployment rate is considered as a lagging indicator and does not indicate what will happen in the future. Often, unemployment numbers continue to Alex Shmatovhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17880460693965335408noreply@blogger.com6tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7160230786343559267.post-5211011932223310362011-06-30T12:17:00.000-07:002011-08-02T16:59:10.475-07:00How To Use Chart Patterns To Predict TrendThere are many classical well-know chart patterns that found a long time ago and now considered as "typical" ones. Also there are many other patterns that can signal a particular, bullish or bear trend, but not described yet. Known or unknown patterns that are persistent can be repeatable in the future; therefore, they can be used to predict the future price movement. To ease the job to memorize Alex Shmatovhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17880460693965335408noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7160230786343559267.post-61282993079169771502011-06-28T19:40:00.000-07:002011-08-02T16:56:32.282-07:00Two More Indicators Implemented in Technical AnalyzerCollected and analyzed data allow comparing different technical analysis indicators. However, according to statistical researches, the problem is that depending on time-frame, market conditions, industry specifics, type of stock or ETF, and other factors, some indicators might be best but other worst, and vice versa. In general, the question can be answered only for some average analysis. As Alex Shmatovhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17880460693965335408noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7160230786343559267.post-42124104869815220832011-06-10T18:32:00.000-07:002011-06-16T09:21:39.112-07:00June 2011: SP-500 Might Not Touch 1250, At Least For NowOne of the popular ideas now is that until S&P-500 index touch 1250 number, it is too early to buy or sell. However, on the assumption that currently many market participants are looking at charts and use technical analysis to make their buy-sell decisions, the index might not move down too much, at least for now. If almost everyone is considering that it is not good time yet to sell (or go Alex Shmatovhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17880460693965335408noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7160230786343559267.post-49383280976282562152011-05-28T11:05:00.000-07:002011-05-28T11:26:20.306-07:00Are Technical Indicators Useful?Yes and No. Evidently, there are periods when technical analysis works and the periods when it does not. The reasons can be many – fundamental changes, revised expectations, unexpected news, etc. During the periods when a majority of market participants make their decisions based on past market performance, as a rule, there would be some technical indicators that relatively work well. Are thereAlex Shmatovhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17880460693965335408noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7160230786343559267.post-59420072545601132002011-04-08T16:21:00.000-07:002011-05-30T18:31:17.725-07:00Market Crowd Factor: Why Trend Might Not Be Your Friend Sometimes“An advertisement said, 'Send me $1 and I will let you know how it was easy for me to become a millionaire.' A man who wants to be a millionaire sent $1 in an envelop. After a while he received a reply: 'I became a millionaire by asking to send me $1' The next day, the advertisement said, 'Send me $1 and I will let you know how it was easy for me to become a billionaire.'” - Author unknown Alex Shmatovhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17880460693965335408noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7160230786343559267.post-3509774812245551082011-03-15T14:13:00.000-07:002011-03-15T14:18:52.157-07:00The Chain of Unfortunate Events Struck the Stock MarketThe first hit on a weak global economy recovery was the re-appearing of European debt problems. Then as it turned out after revised estimate of the fourth quarter, the US economy grew 2.8% instead of 2.9% during 2010. Next, the uprisings in the Middle East induced oil prices to surge. A soaring oil price caused the fear of inflation. The market reaction to oil price overshadowed the good news of Alex Shmatovhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17880460693965335408noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7160230786343559267.post-91319730423671907322011-02-05T16:08:00.000-08:002011-02-05T16:33:02.661-08:00Typical 10 Phases of Stock Market DisturbanceWithin bear or bull market there are always fluctuations in stocks prices. It can be said about indexes, ETFs, and most other investing instruments. As example, let's consider an equilibrium market state that is based on a realistic evaluation. Assume it is a starting point. Then at some moment a good news released with the expectation that is above a realistic evaluation. The first reaction Alex Shmatovhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17880460693965335408noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7160230786343559267.post-8664108519431227192010-12-31T17:51:00.000-08:002010-12-31T18:00:13.945-08:002010 Stock Market Strength Might Propagate Into 2011S&P-500 index has grown 12.78% during 2010 and it is ending on a positive note. The US corporate profits continue improving and companies have a lot of cash that provide opportunities for business optimization, better dividends, and make stocks more attractive. Also during the last several months the stock market became more predictable from the technical analysis point of view.Many experts Alex Shmatovhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17880460693965335408noreply@blogger.com4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7160230786343559267.post-28163986620346443212010-11-13T10:00:00.000-08:002010-11-13T10:03:11.139-08:00November 2010: The Stock Market Is Taking BreakThe US stock market reached the highest level in two years after a strong two-month rally. However, good news about improving retail results and a four-month low jobless claims rate were unable to push the market higher. Since the current market is driven mostly by news, it was a relatively rare case when technical indicators were able to predict a downtrend. A massive insider selling was anotherAlex Shmatovhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17880460693965335408noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7160230786343559267.post-14029768417534504132010-10-30T13:20:00.000-07:002010-10-30T13:45:54.330-07:00SP-500 Index: the First Two Weeks of November 2010Although technically there are no many signals for significant advance in any direction, a possible scenario could be a downside move at the end of the first week and then a slight bounce back. As example of technical prediction, see the chart. The chart has been plotted using InvAn-4 pattern recognition forecast for S&P-500 index prices (November 1-12, 2010). From the summarized point of view, Alex Shmatovhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17880460693965335408noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7160230786343559267.post-34496837129563198592010-10-09T12:12:00.000-07:002010-10-11T10:20:57.250-07:00October 2010 Stock Market Overview: Fundamentals Not Improving, Technicals Not WorseningDue to a growing expectation that the US Federal Reserve will ease a credit environment to help the economy recovery, the US dollar dropped to several-month lows against most foreign currencies. More dollars may stimulate the economical growth. On the other hand, if the Federal Reserve pumps more dollars into the economy, a falling dollar can negatively affect consumers, businesses, and investorsAlex Shmatovhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17880460693965335408noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7160230786343559267.post-48342148022439995392010-09-24T23:44:00.000-07:002010-09-25T10:34:48.883-07:00SP-500 Forecast for the Next Two Weeks, September 27 – October 8, 2010The chart shows S&P-500 forecast for the period from September 27 to October 8, 2010. The calculation has been performed using Neural Network Stock Trend Predictor NNSTP-2. The forecast is fluctuations with eventual uptrend. However, technical prediction may be different if something fundamental happens.Alex Shmatovhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17880460693965335408noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7160230786343559267.post-19236068123023827592010-09-12T15:14:00.001-07:002010-09-12T15:18:37.670-07:00Pattern Prediction for September 13-24, 2010The patterns of the S&P-500 Index may be repeatable in the future. Pattern recognition systems can help to find similar patterns easier by classifying them. After selecting similar patterns, it is possible to use them to predict the future pattern. Investment Analyzer (IA) by Addaptron Software has a few extra features for a short term forecast. To predict prices of the selected stock (index) Alex Shmatovhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17880460693965335408noreply@blogger.com1